What's happening: The 'Super El Niño' and its effects on food prices
Get ready to tighten your wallet: El Niño is coming with force and is expected to disrupt the prices of several food items worldwide in the coming months and possibly in the coming years. The climate phenomenon, known as 'Super El Niño', has the potential to cause a significant increase in global food commodity prices, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs, who indicate a 15.8% increase in global food commodity prices.
The effects of El Niño will not be immediate, due to the way the costs of climate disruptions spread throughout the global food chain. Thus, the consequences may take until the 2nd half of 2028 to be "fully perceived", or rather, felt in the wallet.
Why it matters: The risks to food security and the global economy
The 'Super El Niño' can have a significant impact on food production, especially in regions that depend on seasonal monsoon rains. This can lead to food shortages, especially in countries that rely on locally produced rice.
Additionally, El Niño can affect food trade, especially in the logistics sector. Drier conditions can hinder the flow of production in areas that rely on water transportation. Water scarcity in dry regions can also hinder irrigation of crops.
The science behind 'Super El Niño': Understanding the climate phenomenon
El Niño is a natural climate phenomenon that occurs when the surface temperature of the Pacific Ocean rises above average. This can lead to changes in rainfall and temperature patterns around the world.
The 'Super El Niño' is a more extreme event, which can have a significant impact on food production and the global economy. According to UniCredit, an extreme El Niño scenario can result in a 14.3% decline in global agricultural production, with a loss of $343 billion (R$ 1.7 trillion).
Bigger picture: How 'Super El Niño' compares to other climate events
The 'Super El Niño' is not an isolated event. It is part of a broader pattern of climate change that is affecting food production and the global economy.
According to Bloomberg, the effects of the war in the Middle East continue to haunt the global food market. This is because the Strait of Hormuz, blocked by Iran and the United States, is strategic for the trade of urea.
What happens next: Implications and challenges for the future
The effects of 'Super El Niño' can be felt for years. It is essential that governments and international organizations take measures to mitigate the impacts of the climate phenomenon.
Additionally, it is crucial that investors and consumers are prepared for the challenges that 'Super El Niño' may bring. This includes the possibility of increases in food prices and shortages of certain products.
Conclusion: 'Super El Niño' and the future of food security
The 'Super El Niño' is a reminder that climate change is a real and immediate challenge. It is essential that we take measures to mitigate the impacts of the climate phenomenon and ensure food security for all.
Source / Reference
Original URL: https://climainfo.org.br/2026/07/15/super-el-nino-pode-causar-choque-nos-precos-dos-alimentos-ate-2028/
Source Name: ClimaInfo