What is global warming?

Global warming is the long-term rise in Earth's average surface temperature, driven mainly by greenhouse-gas emissions — above all carbon dioxide (CO₂) released by burning coal, oil and gas. These gases trap heat in the atmosphere, acting like a blanket that stops some of the sun's energy from escaping back to space.

It is the core of climate change: global warming names the temperature rise, while climate change covers everything that follows from it — from melting ice to more extreme weather.

The latest data

Current measured values, updated from our climate database:

+1.19 °C Global temperature anomaly (2025)
427.4 ppm Atmospheric CO₂ (2025)

See live data and charts AI & Climate

What causes it?

The dominant cause is human activity since the Industrial Revolution:

  • Fossil fuels (coal, oil, gas) — the largest source of CO₂.
  • Deforestation — trees absorb CO₂; removing them returns that carbon to the air.
  • Agriculture and livestock — release methane (CH₄) and nitrous oxide, even more potent gases.
  • Industry and cement — processes that emit CO₂ directly.

What are the effects?

Warming means far more than hotter days. Effects already observed include:

  • Melting glaciers and polar ice, driving sea-level rise.
  • More frequent, more intense heatwaves, droughts and wildfires.
  • Heavier rainfall and flooding in some regions.
  • Ocean acidification and loss of biodiversity.
  • Impacts on farming, health and food security.

What can we do?

Limiting warming means cutting emissions (mitigation) and adapting to what is already unavoidable (adaptation):

  • Shift to renewable energy (solar, wind) and electrification.
  • Energy efficiency in buildings, transport and industry.
  • Protecting and restoring forests and ecosystems.
  • Cutting waste and shifting to lower-carbon diets.
  • Public policy: carbon pricing, regulation and investment in innovation.

Live climate indicators

YearGlobal temperature anomalyAtmospheric CO₂
1889 -0.11 °C
1899 -0.18 °C
1909 -0.49 °C
1919 -0.28 °C
1929 -0.36 °C
1939 -0.02 °C
1949 -0.11 °C
1959 +0.03 °C 316.0 ppm
1969 +0.05 °C 324.6 ppm
1979 +0.16 °C 336.8 ppm
1989 +0.27 °C 353.2 ppm
1999 +0.38 °C 368.5 ppm
2009 +0.66 °C 387.6 ppm
2019 +0.98 °C 411.6 ppm
2025 +1.19 °C 427.4 ppm

Sources: NASA GISS, NOAA / Mauna Loa

Frequently asked questions

What is the difference between global warming and climate change?

They are linked but not identical. Global warming refers specifically to the long-term rise in the planet's average surface temperature, measured in degrees Celsius above the pre-industrial level. Climate change describes the much broader set of shifts that result from that warming: changing rainfall and wind patterns, melting glaciers, rising sea levels, ocean acidification, and more frequent and intense extremes such as droughts, heatwaves and floods. In short, global warming is the central cause and climate change is the full set of consequences. Using the more precise term helps separate the symptom — temperature — from the entire system it disrupts. Scientists increasingly favour 'climate change' or 'climate crisis' precisely because the temperature rise is only the beginning of the story.

Is global warming caused by humans?

Yes, and the scientific consensus is overwhelming — more than 97% of climate scientists and every major national academy of sciences agree. The rapid temperature rise since about 1850 is mainly due to human greenhouse-gas emissions, above all the carbon dioxide (CO₂) released by burning coal, oil and gas, plus methane from agriculture and livestock. We know the cause is human from several independent lines of evidence: the extra carbon in the atmosphere carries the isotopic fingerprint of fossil fuels; the upper atmosphere is cooling while the surface warms (the pattern expected from a greenhouse effect, not from a brighter sun); and climate models only reproduce the observed warming when human emissions are included. Natural factors alone — the sun, volcanoes, orbital cycles — cannot explain the trend.

How much has the planet warmed?

The planet has warmed by roughly 1.1 to 1.3 °C above the pre-industrial average (1850–1900), and the most recent exact figure is shown in the live data block above on this page. That may sound small, but it is a global annual average: a little over 1 °C in the mean hides much larger regional extremes. The Arctic, for example, is warming about three to four times faster than the global average. This much warming is already enough to intensify heatwaves, droughts and heavy downpours, shift growing seasons, and melt ice that took millennia to form. Every additional fraction of a degree measurably worsens these impacts, which is why even tenths of a degree matter when governments negotiate targets.

What is the 1.5 °C limit?

It is the central goal of the Paris Agreement, signed in 2015 by nearly every country: hold global warming to 1.5 °C above pre-industrial levels, and well below 2 °C. The 1.5 °C figure is not arbitrary — the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) showed that impacts rise sharply between 1.5 °C and 2 °C: many more people exposed to extreme heat and water stress, far greater loss of coral reefs, and a higher risk of crossing irreversible tipping points. Temporarily overshooting 1.5 °C is not absolute failure, but every year above that level raises the risks and the chance of lasting damage. Keeping the goal within reach requires cutting global emissions to near net zero by around mid-century — a steep but still achievable path.

What does CO₂ in ppm mean?

Ppm means parts per million, and it measures the concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere — how many molecules of CO₂ there are for every million molecules of air. It is the standard metric for tracking the most important greenhouse gas. Before the Industrial Revolution the concentration was around 280 ppm and had stayed relatively stable for thousands of years. Today it exceeds 420 ppm — the latest value is shown in the data block on this page — a level not seen for at least 3 to 4 million years. This rise comes almost entirely from burning fossil fuels and from deforestation. Because CO₂ lingers in the atmosphere for centuries, the concentration keeps climbing as long as net emissions stay positive, even if the rate of increase slows.

Can we still stop global warming?

Yes. The science is clear on two points: the warming already underway is largely irreversible on human timescales, but the amount of future warming depends almost entirely on the emissions we make from now on. There is no single threshold beyond which it is simply 'too late' — every tenth of a degree avoided measurably reduces harm. Stabilising the climate requires reaching net-zero CO₂ emissions, meaning we stop adding more carbon than is removed. That is technically possible with technologies that already exist: solar and wind power, electrifying transport and heating, energy efficiency, and protecting forests. The main obstacle is the speed of the transition, not a lack of solutions. Acting early is consistently cheaper than paying for the damage later, which is why the timing of action matters as much as its scale.

What can I do as an individual?

Individual choices do matter, especially when they add up and when they shape larger systems. The highest-impact personal actions are usually: cutting home energy use and switching to renewable electricity; favouring public transport, cycling or electric vehicles and flying less; and reducing food waste and heavy meat consumption, particularly beef and lamb. These changes lower emissions and often save money. But the single most powerful individual step is collective: talking about the issue, supporting low-carbon policies, choosing responsible companies and banks, and using your voice as a citizen and consumer. The climate crisis is solved mainly at the level of systems — energy, transport, industry — and it is social demand for change that speeds those systems up. Collective action multiplies the impact of every individual choice.

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